We are football fans with software engineering degrees who make money off our favourite game while doing what we love. We want to share our experience and our results with others. Below, we will talk about how maths and programming are used to put together football predictions today.

On the pages of our website, you can find fixtures of various leagues and tournaments. Naturally, we cover the top 5 European leagues, as well as matches from the Portuguese and Dutch championships. In the summer, when Europeans go on pause, you can find forecasts for the leagues from South and North America.

And of course, we do not pass by real football festivals - major international tournaments such as the World Cup and Euro. National teams' qualifications for these tournaments are also available on the xGscore during breaks in club championships.

The full list of leagues is as follows:. And this is just the beginning. From year to year, the xGscore team work to expand the number of new leagues. We want every bettor to eventually find the league of their country on our website.

Our primary task while creating soccer predictions is to calculate the expected game score, hence the name of our site is xGscore Expected goals score. The computing system works on neural network algorithms. With each new prediction, the system learns and as a result, applies an increasingly greater number of benchmark data, analyzes the results of previous bets, and improves calculation parameters.

To predict a football match score, you need to calculate the number of goals each team will score and concede. The easiest way to do this is to calculate the mean of all goals scored and conceded in a season. It becomes apparent that in analysing a game between two top teams one has to prioritise the matches of similar competitors at the top of the leaderboard.

xGscore prediction model assesses the significance of each match played in calculating expected goals. Here are the main factors considered by our algorithm:.

Next, the model adds up data from all matches and produces scored and conceded goals for both home and away teams. By combining the scores of both teams, we get the expected game score.

Half of the work is done. Now, the game score prediction needs to be converted into the most profitable bet. These bets are called value bets. The probability of value bets to happen is always higher than bookmaker's chance included in coefficient, which makes it one of the best football betting strategies.

This means that we need to evaluate the probability of each match outcome: home and away teams win, draw, totals, handicaps, etc. To do this we turn to another mathematical function, the Poisson distribution.

The Poisson distribution probability calculator is available for our users on a separate page , where you can learn more about it and try it out. Each bet offered by our system is additionally reviewed by an expert from our team and only after that we publish the final match betting tips.

The main intent behind xGscore development was to create an all-encompassing resource that would contain all the information needed for an accurate match prediction and for determining the most profitable football tips.

In the near future, we are planning to increase the number of leagues we make free football predictions for, expand the necessary functionality for match analysis to include player injuries and suspensions, ROI stats etc.

We need your help to speed up the development process. Please share a link to this resource with those who might be interested in it, and subscribe to our Patreon. Calculate probabilities of outcomes based on pre-match expected score. Betting Tools.

Your Tips. Your Betting Tips. A positive number means that the highlighted team has a stronger lineup than the opponent. News Bundesliga: Bayern Munich back to their best World Cup Draw Long-Term Bets: A way to beat bookies?

Live Soccer Tips! Live Betting Tips! K4success is on fire and has won Soccer Betting Tips. Teams with a star should be avoided. Today Prediction. Bold Team is rated weaker by bookmakers and has higher odds than in rounds before.

Ratings influenced by recent cup games. To check live scores of almost all leagues offered here, please visit: Live Scores or Soccer Results A fast service for live football scores and latest football results from FlashScore.

You may also visit FlashSport - a source for all soccer news in one place. For odds comparison we recommend to check Soccer betting odds at OddsPortal. com Login Register. Country England Spain Italy Germany France Albania Armenia Austria Azerbaijan Belarus Belgium Bosnia-Herzegovina Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland Färöer Georgia Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Macedonia Malta Moldova Montenegro Netherlands Northern Ireland Norway Poland Portugal Romania Russia Scotland Serbia Slovakia Slovenia Sweden Switzerland Turkey Ukraine Wales.

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